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Тест за нелинейна причинност по напречното корелиране на Хиемстра-Джоунс×Конвергентно кръстосано картографиране (CCM)×Ентропия на пренос (Transfer Entropy)×
ОбластИконометрияПричинно-следствено заключениеПричинно-следствено заключение
СемействоHypothesis testMachine learningMachine learning
Година на възникване199420122000
СъздателCraig Hiemstra & Jonathan JonesGeorge Sugihara et al.Thomas Schreiber
ТипNonparametric hypothesis testNonlinear time-series causality testNon-parametric information-theoretic measure
Основополагащ източникHiemstra, C., & Jones, J. D. (1994). Testing for linear and nonlinear Granger causality in the stock price-volume relation. The Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1639–1664. DOI ↗Sugihara, G., et al. (2012). Detecting causality in complex ecosystems. Science, 338(6106), 496–500. DOI ↗Schreiber, T. (2000). Measuring information transfer. Physical Review Letters, 85(2), 461–464. DOI ↗
Други названияHJ Nonlinear Causality Test, Hiemstra-Jones Test, Nonlinear Granger Causality (Hiemstra-Jones), HJ Nedensellik TestiCCM, Cross-Convergent Mapping, Empirical Dynamic Modelling Causality, Yakınsak Çapraz HaritalamaSchreiber Information Transfer, Directed Information Flow, Conditional Mutual Information (directed), Transfer Entropisi
Свързани333
РезюмеThe Hiemstra-Jones test, introduced in 1994, is a nonparametric procedure for detecting nonlinear causal relationships between two time series after removing their linear interdependencies. Developed in the context of stock price and trading volume dynamics, it extends the standard linear Granger causality framework by using correlation integral statistics to detect predictability arising from nonlinear mechanisms that linear VAR models cannot capture.Convergent Cross Mapping (CCM) is a nonlinear, state-space method for detecting causality between time-series variables embedded in a shared dynamical system. Introduced by George Sugihara and colleagues in their landmark 2012 Science paper, CCM exploits Takens' embedding theorem: if variable X causally influences Y, the historical record of Y contains enough information to recover the states of X. Causality is confirmed when cross-map skill improves—converges—as the time-series library grows longer.Transfer Entropy (TE) is a non-parametric, information-theoretic measure of directed statistical dependence between two time series, introduced by Thomas Schreiber in 2000. Grounded in Shannon entropy, it quantifies how much information the past of one process Y reduces uncertainty about the next state of another process X, beyond what X's own past already provides. Unlike linear correlation or Granger causality, TE captures nonlinear interactions and requires no model assumptions about the underlying dynamics.
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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: Hiemstra-Jones Causality · Convergent Cross Mapping · Transfer Entropy. Извлечено на 2026-06-20 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare