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Тест за причинност на Грейнджър×ARDL Bounds Test×
ОбластИконометрияИконометрия
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Година на възникване19692001
СъздателClive W. J. GrangerPesaran, Shin & Smith
ТипTime-series predictive causality testCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model
Основополагащ източникGranger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗
Други названияGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik TestiPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)
Свързани54
РезюмеThe Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.
ScholarGateНабор от данни
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  2. 1 Източници
  3. PUBLISHED
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  2. 2 Източници
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: Granger Causality · ARDL Bounds Test. Извлечено на 2026-06-18 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare