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Модел на Фурие за AR×АРСС модел (авторегресионна плъзгаща се средна)×
ОбластИконометрияИконометрия
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Година на възникване20121970
СъздателEnders & LeeGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
ТипTime series model with Fourier augmentationTime series model
Основополагащ източникEnders, W., & Lee, J. (2012). A unit root test using a Fourier series to approximate smooth breaks. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 74(4), 574–599. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
Други названияFourier AR, trigonometric AR model, smooth transition AR with Fourier terms, FAR modelARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)
Свързани65
РезюмеThe Fourier AR model extends the standard autoregressive specification by adding trigonometric (sine and cosine) terms to the deterministic component. This allows the model to capture smooth, gradual shifts in the mean or trend of a time series without requiring the researcher to locate or count structural break points explicitly.The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.
ScholarGateНабор от данни
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  2. 2 Източници
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Източници
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: Fourier AR Model · ARMA model. Извлечено на 2026-06-18 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare