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| Симулация на дискретен избор× | Микросимулация× | Смесен лог-модел× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Област≠ | Симулационно моделиране | Симулационно моделиране | Иконометрия |
| Семейство≠ | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline | Regression model |
| Година на възникване≠ | 1974 (McFadden's Nobel-cited logit); simulation extensions throughout 1990s–2000s | 1957 | 2000 |
| Създател≠ | Daniel McFadden (random utility theory); Kenneth Train (simulation methods) | Guy Orcutt (concept, 1957); modern tax-transfer frameworks developed through EUROMOD and related projects | Daniel McFadden & Kenneth Train |
| Тип≠ | Discrete choice modelling with Monte Carlo simulation | Policy simulation / computational social science | Random-parameters discrete choice model |
| Основополагащ източник≠ | Train, K.E. (2009). Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗ | O'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI ↗ | Train, K. E. (2009). Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0-521-74738-7 |
| Други названия≠ | stated preference simulation, SP simulation, revealed preference modelling, Ayrık Seçim Simülasyonu (Stated Preference / SP Simulation) | Mikrosimülasyon, micro-simulation, policy microsimulation | Random Parameters Logit, Mixed Multinomial Logit, Error Components Logit, Karma Logit Modeli |
| Свързани≠ | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Резюме≠ | Discrete choice simulation is a behavioural modelling method — grounded in random utility theory formalised by Daniel McFadden in the 1970s and extended to simulation-based estimation by Kenneth Train — that estimates how individuals choose among mutually exclusive alternatives and then uses those estimated preference parameters to forecast how choice shares would shift under hypothetical policy or market scenarios. It is the dominant quantitative tool in transport demand analysis, health economics, environmental valuation, and marketing research. | Microsimulation is a computational method that simulates policy effects by operating directly on a population of individual micro-units — households, firms, patients — and applying rules to each unit according to its own demographic, economic, and behavioural characteristics. Developed conceptually by Guy Orcutt in 1957, it has become the standard tool for evaluating tax reform, pension systems, and health policy before implementation. | The Mixed Logit model, introduced formally by McFadden and Train (2000) and elaborated in Train (2009), is a flexible discrete choice framework that allows preference parameters to vary randomly across decision-makers. By integrating standard logit probabilities over a mixing distribution of coefficients, it overcomes the restrictive independence of irrelevant alternatives (IIA) property and accommodates unobserved taste heterogeneity, panel data correlation, and complex substitution patterns across alternatives. |
| ScholarGateНабор от данни ↗ |
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