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Метод на Крoстън за прекъснато търсене×Регресия на Поасон и отрицателна биномна регресия×
ОбластИконометрияИконометрия
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Година на възникване19721998
СъздателJ. D. Croston (1972)Cameron & Trivedi (textbook treatment); Hilbe (negative binomial)
ТипIntermittent demand time-series forecastingGeneralized linear model for count data
Основополагащ източникCroston, J. D. (1972). Forecasting and Stock Control for Intermittent Demands. Operational Research Quarterly, 23(3), 289-303. DOI ↗Cameron, A. C. & Trivedi, P. K. (1998). Regression Analysis of Count Data. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
Други названияCroston method, intermittent demand forecasting, Croston Yöntemi — Aralıklı Talep Tahminicount regression, log-linear count model, negative binomial regression, Poisson / Negatif Binom Regresyon
Свързани44
РезюмеCroston's method, introduced by J. D. Croston in 1972, is a time-series forecasting technique built for intermittent demand series in which periods of zero demand are frequent. Instead of forecasting the raw series, it models the size of demand when it occurs and the interval between demand occurrences as two separate processes.Poisson regression is a generalized linear model for count outcomes — events tallied as non-negative integers such as hospital admissions, accidents, or article counts. It models the log of the expected count as a linear function of the predictors, and is developed in the standard count-data treatment of Cameron and Trivedi (1998); when the counts are over-dispersed, the closely related negative binomial model (Hilbe, 2011) is preferred.
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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: Croston's Method · Poisson Regression. Извлечено на 2026-06-17 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare