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نموذج تصحيح الخطأ المتجهي (VECM)×نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المتجهي (VAR)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة19871980
صاحب الطريقةRobert F. Engle and Clive W. J. GrangerChristopher A. Sims
النوعMultivariate time-series modelMultivariate time-series model
المصدر التأسيسيEngle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةVECM, error correction VAR, cointegrated VAR, vector equilibrium correction modelVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
ذات صلة55
الملخصThe Vector Error Correction Model extends the Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework to a system of variables that share one or more long-run equilibrium relationships. It jointly models short-run dynamics and the speed at which each variable corrects back toward equilibrium after a shock, making it the standard tool for analysing cointegrated multivariate time series.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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  1. v1
  2. 2 المصادر
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Vector Error Correction Model · Vector Autoregression. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-15 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare