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اختبار جوهانس لتكامل المتجهات مع الانقطاع الهيكلي×نموذج تصحيح الخطأ المتجهي (VECM)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة2000–20011987
صاحب الطريقةJohansen (1988); structural-break extensions by Saikkonen & Lütkepohl (2000) and Lütkepohl, Müller & Saikkonen (2001)Robert F. Engle and Clive W. J. Granger
النوعCointegration test / VECM estimationMultivariate time-series model
المصدر التأسيسيJohansen, S. (1988). Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2–3), 231–254. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةJohansen cointegration with breaks, break-robust Johansen test, cointegration test with regime shifts, structural change Johansen VECMVECM, error correction VAR, cointegrated VAR, vector equilibrium correction model
ذات صلة55
الملخصThe structural break Johansen cointegration test extends the standard maximum-likelihood Johansen procedure to settings where the multivariate time series exhibits level shifts or trend breaks. By incorporating dummy variables or shift regressors into the VECM, the test determines the cointegrating rank without confounding genuine long-run relationships with regime changes.The Vector Error Correction Model extends the Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework to a system of variables that share one or more long-run equilibrium relationships. It jointly models short-run dynamics and the speed at which each variable corrects back toward equilibrium after a shock, making it the standard tool for analysing cointegrated multivariate time series.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Structural break Johansen cointegration · Vector Error Correction Model. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-15 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare