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نموذج ماركوف للتبديل بين الأنظمة (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×انحدار المربعات الصغرى العادية (OLS)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة19892019
صاحب الطريقةHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
النوعRegime-switching time series modelLinear regression
المصدر التأسيسيHamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
الأسماء البديلةregime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
ذات صلة55
الملخصThe Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Markov-Switching Model · OLS Regression. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-17 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare