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المجالالمحاكاةمنهجية المسح
العائلةProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
سنة النشأة19511977
صاحب الطريقةHerman Kahn & Theodore Harris (RAND Corporation, 1951)William G. Cochran
النوعMonte Carlo variance-reduction techniqueProbability-based survey sampling design
المصدر التأسيسيRubinstein, R.Y. & Kroese, D.P. (2016). Simulation and the Monte Carlo Method (3rd ed.). Wiley. DOI ↗Cochran, W. G. (1977). Sampling Techniques (3rd ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-0-471-16240-7
الأسماء البديلةIS, weighted Monte Carlo, Önem ÖrneklemesiProportional Stratified Sampling, Optimal Allocation Sampling, Stratum-Based Sampling, Tabakalı Örnekleme
ذات صلة52
الملخصImportance sampling is a Monte Carlo variance-reduction technique that shifts the sampling distribution toward the region of interest — typically a rare or extreme event — so that informative samples are drawn far more often than under the original distribution. Developed at the RAND Corporation by Herman Kahn and Theodore Harris around 1951, it makes tail-probability estimation (such as Value-at-Risk or system-failure probability) tractable where standard Monte Carlo would require an astronomically large number of runs.Stratified sampling is a probability sampling design in which the target population is partitioned into non-overlapping, exhaustive subgroups called strata, and independent probability samples are drawn within each stratum. Formalized by William G. Cochran in Sampling Techniques (1977), the method exploits known population structure to reduce variance and guarantee representativeness of all major subgroups, making it a cornerstone of large-scale survey research and official statistics.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Importance Sampling · Stratified Sampling. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-15 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare