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اختبار سببية غرانجر (Granger Causality Test)×"Kónya Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality"×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelHypothesis test
سنة النشأة19692006
صاحب الطريقةClive W. J. GrangerLászló Kónya
النوعTime-series predictive causality testNon-parametric bootstrap hypothesis test
المصدر التأسيسيGranger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Kónya, L. (2006). Exports and growth: Granger causality analysis on OECD countries with a panel data approach. Economic Modelling, 23(6), 978–992. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik TestiBootstrap Panel Causality Test, Kónya Panel Granger Causality, SUR-Based Bootstrap Causality, Kónya Önyükleme Nedensellik Testi
ذات صلة53
الملخصThe Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.Introduced by László Kónya in 2006, this method tests Granger causality in heterogeneous panels by estimating a Seemingly Unrelated Regressions (SUR) system and deriving country-specific critical values through bootstrapping. Unlike pooled panel tests, it delivers a separate causality verdict for each cross-section, making it particularly valuable in applied macroeconomics and international economics when panel units are expected to behave differently.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Granger Causality · Kónya Bootstrap Causality. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-18 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare