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اختبار CUSUM: الكشف عن عدم استقرار المعلمات في نماذج الانحدار×اختبار تشاو للانقطاع الهيكلي×اختبار كوانت-أندروز للكسور الهيكلية غير المعروفة×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةHypothesis testRegression modelHypothesis test
سنة النشأة197519601993
صاحب الطريقةBrown, Durbin & EvansGregory C. ChowDonald Andrews
النوعRecursive residual testTest for structural break in regression coefficientsSupremum test for structural change
المصدر التأسيسيBrown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 37(2), 149–192. DOI ↗Chow, G. C. (1960). Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions. Econometrica, 28(3), 591–605. DOI ↗Andrews, D. W. K. (1993). Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point. Econometrica, 61(4), 821–856. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةCumulative Sum Test, CUSUMSQ Test, Brown-Durbin-Evans Test, Kümülatif Toplam TestiChow breakpoint test, structural break test, Chow yapısal kırılma testisup-Wald Test, Andrews Breakpoint Test, Unknown Structural Break Test, Quandt Likelihood Ratio Test
ذات صلة323
الملخصThe CUSUM (Cumulative Sum) and CUSUMSQ (Cumulative Sum of Squares) tests, introduced by Brown, Durbin, and Evans (1975), assess whether the coefficients of a linear regression model remain constant over time. They are standard tools in econometrics for detecting structural breaks, policy shifts, or regime changes in time-series data without requiring prior knowledge of when a break occurs.The Chow test, introduced by Gregory Chow in 1960, checks whether the coefficients of a linear regression are the same across two subsamples — that is, whether a structural break occurs at a known point such as a policy change, crisis, or regime shift. It compares the fit of a single pooled regression with the combined fit of two separate regressions; a large improvement from splitting indicates the relationship differs between the two periods or groups.The Quandt-Andrews test, formalized by Andrews (1993), detects structural breaks in regression parameters when the breakpoint date is unknown a priori. It sweeps all candidate break dates within a trimmed interior of the sample, computes a Wald (or LM/LR) statistic at each candidate, and reports the supremum of those statistics. Applied economists and time-series analysts use it to test whether coefficients remain stable across a full estimation window without needing to specify when the break occurred.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: CUSUM Test · Chow Test · Quandt-Andrews Test. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-19 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare