قارن الطرق

	نموذج ARIMA (الانحدار الذاتي المتكامل للمتوسط المتحرك)	PatchTST
المجال	الاقتصاد القياسي	التعلم العميق
العائلة	Regression model	Machine learning
سنة النشأة	2015	2023
صاحب الطريقة	Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)	Nie, Y. et al.
النوع	Univariate time-series model	Transformer for time series forecasting
المصدر التأسيسي	Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021	Nie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR.
الأسماء البديلة	Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli	PatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformer
ذات صلة	5	3
الملخص	ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).	PatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting.