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| نموذج ARFIMA: نموذج الانحدار الذاتي والمتوسط المتحرك المدمج كسريًا× | انحدار الكوانتيل× | |
|---|---|---|
| المجال | الاقتصاد القياسي | الاقتصاد القياسي |
| العائلة | Regression model | Regression model |
| سنة النشأة≠ | 1980 | 1978 |
| صاحب الطريقة≠ | Granger & Joyeux (1980); Hosking (1981) | Koenker & Bassett |
| النوع≠ | Long-memory time series model | Conditional quantile regression |
| المصدر التأسيسي≠ | Granger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980). An Introduction to Long-Memory Time Series Models and Fractional Differencing. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1(1), 15–29. DOI ↗ | Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗ |
| الأسماء البديلة≠ | fractionally integrated ARMA, long-memory time series model, ARFIMA / FIGARCH, fractional differencing model | conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon |
| ذات صلة | 5 | 5 |
| الملخص≠ | ARFIMA is a time series model that captures long-memory behaviour using a fractional differencing parameter d, generalising the integer differencing of ARIMA. It was introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980) and formalised by Hosking (1981) to describe series whose autocorrelations decay slowly rather than abruptly. | Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails. |
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