قارن الطرق
راجع الطرق التي اخترتها جنبًا إلى جنب؛ الصفوف المختلفة مميَّزة.
| اختبار حدود ARDL (اختبار حدود بيسران)× | نموذج ARIMA (الانحدار الذاتي المتكامل للمتوسط المتحرك)× | اختبار سببية غرانجر (Granger Causality Test)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| المجال | الاقتصاد القياسي | الاقتصاد القياسي | الاقتصاد القياسي |
| العائلة | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| سنة النشأة≠ | 2001 | 2015 | 1969 |
| صاحب الطريقة≠ | Pesaran, Shin & Smith | Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology) | Clive W. J. Granger |
| النوع≠ | Cointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model | Univariate time-series model | Time-series predictive causality test |
| المصدر التأسيسي≠ | Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗ | Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021 | Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗ |
| الأسماء البديلة≠ | Pesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test) | Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli | Granger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi |
| ذات صلة≠ | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| الملخص≠ | The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations. | ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015). | The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause. |
| ScholarGateمجموعة البيانات ↗ |
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