System Dynamics Business Strategy Modeling
System dynamics business strategy modeling represents a firm's strategy as a system of stocks, flows, and feedback loops with delays, then simulates the resulting nonlinear behavior to understand why strategies succeed, fail, or backfire over time. Jay Forrester's 1961 Industrial Dynamics founded the field, showing that the feedback structure of a business — orders, inventories, capacity, and the information links that govern them — generates dynamics like amplification and oscillation that no single decision creates. John Sterman's 2000 Business Dynamics turned this into a comprehensive modeling discipline for managers, complete with a structured process for building, testing, and using simulation models. The method gives strategists a way to see how policies ripple through reinforcing and balancing loops, often producing counterintuitive long-run consequences.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
- Forrester, J. W. (1961). Industrial Dynamics. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. · ISBN 9780262060035
- Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Boston: Irwin/McGraw-Hill. · ISBN 9780072389159
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