方法证据记录
Stochastic Scenario Analysis
Stochastic Scenario Analysis evaluates a system or decision across multiple explicitly defined scenarios, each assigned a probability of occurrence. Unlike deterministic scenario analysis, it propagates uncertainty through probability distributions and computes expected outcomes, variance, and risk metrics across the scenario space, giving decision-makers a structured view of what could happen and how likely each outcome is.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Stochastic Scenario Analysis — Probabilistic multi-scenario evaluation under uncertainty
分类方法记录 · process-pipeline / simulation
- Birge, J. R., Louveaux, F. (2011). Introduction to Stochastic Programming (2nd ed.). Springer. · ISBN 9781461402374
- Lempert, R. J., Popper, S. W., Bankes, S. C. (2003). Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis. RAND Corporation. · URL
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