方法证据记录
Expected Utility Model of War
The expected utility model of war, introduced by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita in The War Trap (1981), treats the decision to initiate international conflict as a rational gamble. A leader is modeled as comparing the utility of the outcome they could win against the utility of the outcome they could lose, each weighted by the probability of winning or losing, and is predicted to challenge another state only when this expected utility is positive. It was among the first attempts to derive testable predictions about war initiation from explicit assumptions of rational, utility-maximizing decision making.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Bueno de Mesquita's Expected Utility Theory of International Conflict
分类方法记录 · mcdm / international-relations
打开完整方法 精选声明
声明已持久化到证据分类账中，每个声明都有自己的评估。
尚无精选声明
当分类账中没有声明时，此视图不会自行创建声明评估。
相关方法
从方法图中生成，显示为机器建议的关系 — 不推断任何证据声明。