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| Mô hình động lực hệ thống× | Mô phỏng Monte Carlo× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực≠ | Mô phỏng | Ra quyết định |
| Họ≠ | Process / pipeline | MCDM |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1961 | 1949 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Jay W. Forrester | Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. |
| Loại≠ | Continuous simulation / feedback modelling | Robustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Sterman, J.D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0072389159 | Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác≠ | stock-flow modelling, Sistem Dinamiği (Stock-Flow Modelleme), SD modelling, feedback simulation | — |
| Liên quan≠ | 3 | 0 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | System dynamics is a continuous simulation method, developed by Jay W. Forrester at MIT in 1961, that represents a complex system through stocks (accumulations), flows (rates of change), and feedback loops. By expressing these relationships as coupled ordinary differential equations, it reproduces how policies, delays, and nonlinear feedbacks drive system behaviour over time — making it a cornerstone tool in policy analysis, organisational modelling, and sustainability research. | MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result. |
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