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| Mô phỏng vi mô ngẫu nhiên× | Mô phỏng vi mô dựa trên tác nhân× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Mô phỏng | Mô phỏng |
| Họ | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1957 | 1957 (microsimulation); 2000s (hybrid ABMS) |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Guy H. Orcutt | Orcutt, G. H. (microsimulation roots); Bonabeau, E. and others (ABM integration) |
| Loại≠ | Stochastic individual-level simulation | Hybrid simulation |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Orcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI ↗ | Birkin, M., & Clarke, M. (2012). The enhancement of spatial microsimulation models using geodemographics. Annals of Regional Science, 49(2), 515–532. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | Probabilistic Microsimulation, Monte Carlo Microsimulation, Stochastic Micro-simulation, SMSM | ABMS, Agent-Based Micro-Simulation, Microsimulation with Agent-Based Modeling, Hybrid ABM-Microsimulation |
| Liên quan≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Stochastic Microsimulation tracks a large population of individual units — people, households, or firms — through time by applying random draws from empirically estimated probability distributions at each transition event. Unlike deterministic counterparts, every state change is decided by chance, preserving realistic heterogeneity and allowing rigorous uncertainty quantification across multiple simulation runs. | Agent-based microsimulation (ABMS) merges traditional microsimulation's individual-level statistical tracking with agent-based modeling's behavioral rules and interaction mechanisms. It creates virtual populations of heterogeneous agents who evolve over time according to transition probabilities, adaptive behaviors, and social interactions, producing emergent system-level outcomes from micro-level dynamics. |
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