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| Lý thuyết Dân số Ổn định× | Phân tích Bàn Lập Sinh Mệnh (Life Table Analysis)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Nhân khẩu học | Nhân khẩu học |
| Họ≠ | Regression model | Survival analysis |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1972 | 1984 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Alfred J. Lotka; Ansley Coale | Demographic/actuarial tradition; Chiang |
| Loại≠ | Mathematical demographic model | Age-structured mortality estimator |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Coale, A. J. (1972). The Growth and Structure of Human Populations: A Mathematical Investigation. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 978-0-691-09357-4 | Chiang, C. L. (1984). The Life Table and Its Applications. Robert E. Krieger Publishing. ISBN: 978-0-89874-565-2 |
| Tên gọi khác | Lotka-Coale Stable Population Model, Stable Age Distribution Theory, Stationary Population Theory, Kararlı Nüfus Teorisi | Mortality Table, Actuarial Table, Survival Table, Yaşam Tablosu |
| Liên quan≠ | 2 | 3 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Stable Population Theory is a mathematical framework in demography that describes the age structure and growth dynamics of a closed population subject to constant age-specific fertility and mortality schedules over a long period. Foundational work by Alfred J. Lotka established the core integral equation in the early twentieth century, and Ansley Coale's 1972 mathematical synthesis became the definitive theoretical reference, showing that any population exposed to invariant vital rates will converge to a unique stable age distribution growing at a fixed intrinsic rate of natural increase. | A life table is a systematic, age-structured summary of the mortality experience of a population. It traces a hypothetical cohort of births — conventionally 100,000 — through successive age intervals, recording how many survive, how many die, and how many person-years are lived at each interval. The method was formalized in its modern probabilistic form by Chiang (1984), synthesizing centuries of actuarial and demographic practice into a rigorous statistical framework applicable to human and biological populations alike. |
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