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Spatial Voting Model×Voting Power Index Analysis×
Lĩnh vựcPolitical SciencePolitical Science
HọMCDMMCDM
Năm ra đời19571954
Người khởi xướngHarold Hotelling, Duncan Black & Anthony DownsLloyd Shapley & Martin Shubik; John F. Banzhaf III
LoạiFormal model of electoral and legislative choiceCooperative game-theoretic measure of a priori voting power
Công trình gốcDowns, A. (1957). An Economic Theory of Democracy. Harper & Row. ISBN: 9780060417505Shapley, L. S., & Shubik, M. (1954). A Method for Evaluating the Distribution of Power in a Committee System. American Political Science Review, 48(3), 787-792. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácSpatial Theory of Voting, Downsian Model, Proximity Voting Model, Median Voter ModelVoting Power Index, Shapley-Shubik Index, Banzhaf Power Index, A Priori Voting Power Analysis
Liên quan44
Tóm tắtThe spatial voting model represents voters and political alternatives as points in a common geometric policy space and assumes that each voter supports the alternative nearest to their own ideal point. Rooted in Hotelling's location theory, Duncan Black's 1948 single-peakedness result, and Anthony Downs's 1957 economic theory of democracy, the model yields two foundational results: the median voter theorem, which identifies the equilibrium policy in one dimension, and the Downsian prediction that two vote-seeking parties converge toward the center. It is the workhorse formalism behind modern empirical estimation of political positions.Voting power index analysis measures the a priori capacity of each member of a weighted voting body to influence collective decisions, defined as the probability that the member is pivotal — that their vote turns a losing coalition into a winning one. The two canonical indices are the Shapley-Shubik index, introduced by Lloyd Shapley and Martin Shubik in 1954 as a specialization of the Shapley value to simple voting games, and the Banzhaf index, formalized by John Banzhaf in 1965. Both reveal that a player's share of power generally differs sharply from its share of votes.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Spatial Voting Model · Voting Power Index Analysis. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-24 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare