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Spatial Voting Model×Ideal Point Estimation×
Lĩnh vựcPolitical SciencePolitical Science
HọMCDMLatent structure
Năm ra đời19572004
Người khởi xướngHarold Hotelling, Duncan Black & Anthony DownsClinton, Jackman & Rivers (Bayesian formulation); Poole & Rosenthal (spatial tradition)
LoạiFormal model of electoral and legislative choiceLatent-variable spatial model of binary choice data
Công trình gốcDowns, A. (1957). An Economic Theory of Democracy. Harper & Row. ISBN: 9780060417505Clinton, J., Jackman, S., & Rivers, D. (2004). The Statistical Analysis of Roll Call Data. American Political Science Review, 98(2), 355–370. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácSpatial Theory of Voting, Downsian Model, Proximity Voting Model, Median Voter ModelIdeal point model, Item response theory for roll calls, Spatial voting model, Bayesian ideal points
Liên quan44
Tóm tắtThe spatial voting model represents voters and political alternatives as points in a common geometric policy space and assumes that each voter supports the alternative nearest to their own ideal point. Rooted in Hotelling's location theory, Duncan Black's 1948 single-peakedness result, and Anthony Downs's 1957 economic theory of democracy, the model yields two foundational results: the median voter theorem, which identifies the equilibrium policy in one dimension, and the Downsian prediction that two vote-seeking parties converge toward the center. It is the workhorse formalism behind modern empirical estimation of political positions.Ideal point estimation recovers the latent policy positions — ideal points — of political actors from their observed binary choices, most often legislators' yea/nay votes on roll calls. Building on the spatial theory of voting and formalized as a Bayesian item-response model by Clinton, Jackman, and Rivers in 2004, it places each legislator and each bill in a low-dimensional policy space and estimates positions so that the probability a legislator votes yea increases as the bill's 'yea' outcome moves closer to that legislator's ideal point.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Spatial Voting Model · Ideal Point Estimation. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-24 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare