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| Spatial Counterfactual Impact Evaluation× | Phương pháp Kiểm soát Tổng hợp (SCM)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Suy luận nhân quả | Suy luận nhân quả |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2010s | 2003–2010 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Cerqua, Pellegrini, and regional-science scholars building on counterfactual econometrics | Alberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal (2003); Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010) |
| Loại≠ | Quasi-experimental / causal inference | Quasi-experimental causal inference |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Cerqua, A., & Pellegrini, G. (2014). Do subsidies to private capital boost firms' growth? A multiple regression discontinuity design approach. Journal of Public Economics, 109, 114-126. DOI ↗ | Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | SCIE, spatial CIE, place-based counterfactual evaluation, regional counterfactual analysis | SCM, synthetic control, synth estimator, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller method |
| Liên quan≠ | 5 | 4 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Spatial Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (SCIE) is a family of quasi-experimental methods that estimate the causal effect of geographically targeted policies — such as EU Cohesion Funds, enterprise zones, or place-based subsidies — by constructing a spatial counterfactual: what outcomes the treated region would have experienced without the intervention, inferred from comparable untreated regions or from discontinuities at policy boundaries. | The Synthetic Control Method estimates the causal effect of a treatment or policy on a single treated unit by constructing a weighted combination of untreated units — the synthetic control — that closely resembles the treated unit before the intervention. The gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart after the intervention is the estimated treatment effect. |
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