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| Phân tích cây sự kiện có hỗ trợ mô phỏng× | Phân tích Chế độ và Ảnh hưởng Thất bại (FMEA)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Thiết kế thí nghiệm | Thiết kế thí nghiệm |
| Họ | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1970s–1990s (formalized in probabilistic risk assessment practice) | 1949 (military); widespread industrial adoption 1970s–1980s |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | H.A. Watson (Bell Telephone Laboratories, ETA origins ~1961); Monte Carlo integration of ETA developed in nuclear/aerospace PRA community 1970s–1990s | U.S. Military / NASA (formalized by MIL-P-1629, 1949) |
| Loại≠ | Probabilistic risk and reliability assessment method | Proactive risk analysis technique |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Zio, E. (2009). Reliability engineering: Old problems and new challenges. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 94(2), 125–141. DOI ↗ | Stamatis, D. H. (2003). Failure Mode and Effect Analysis: FMEA from Theory to Execution (2nd ed.). ASQ Quality Press. ISBN: 978-0873895989 |
| Tên gọi khác | Monte Carlo ETA, stochastic event tree analysis, simulation-enhanced ETA, probabilistic event tree simulation | FMEA, Failure Modes and Effects Analysis, FMECA, Failure Mode Effects and Criticality Analysis |
| Liên quan | 6 | 6 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Simulation-assisted event tree analysis (ETA) extends classical event tree analysis by replacing fixed point-estimate branch probabilities with Monte Carlo or discrete-event simulation. This allows analysts to propagate uncertainty through every branch of the tree and obtain full probability distributions over accident sequences and system outcomes, yielding far richer risk insights than deterministic ETA alone. | Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) is a structured, proactive risk management technique used to identify potential failure modes in a system, process, or product design, evaluate their consequences, and prioritize corrective actions before failures occur. Originally developed for the U.S. military in 1949 and later adopted by NASA, automotive, and manufacturing industries, FMEA is now a cornerstone quality-engineering tool embedded in standards such as AIAG-VDA and ISO 9001-aligned processes. |
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