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| Phân tích chuỗi thời gian bị gián đoạn mạnh mẽ× | Chuỗi thời gian bị gián đoạn động× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Suy luận nhân quả | Suy luận nhân quả |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2010s | 2002–2017 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini; Linden (robust extensions) | Wagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan; extended by Lopez Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini |
| Loại≠ | Quasi-experimental segmented regression with robust inference | Quasi-experimental time-series design |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗ | Lopez Bernal, J., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | robust ITS, outlier-robust ITS, robust segmented regression, robust ITSA | Dynamic ITS, ITS with lagged effects, time-varying ITS, flexible ITS |
| Liên quan≠ | 5 | 4 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Robust Interrupted Time Series Analysis is a quasi-experimental method that estimates the causal effect of a policy or intervention on an aggregate outcome over time, using segmented regression fitted with outlier-resistant or heteroskedasticity-consistent standard errors. It is widely used in health services research and public-health evaluation when the time series contains influential observations, non-constant variance, or mild autocorrelation. | Dynamic Interrupted Time Series (Dynamic ITS) extends the standard ITS design by allowing intervention effects to build up, decay, or shift over multiple time lags rather than assuming a single instantaneous level change. It estimates how an intervention's impact evolves across time periods, making it especially suited to public health, health services research, and policy evaluation where effects accumulate gradually or wear off after initial impact. |
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