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| Mô phỏng sự kiện rời rạc mạnh mẽ× | Phân tích Kịch bản Mạnh mẽ× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Mô phỏng | Mô phỏng |
| Họ | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1990s–2000s | 1950 (foundations); 2003 (modern RDM formulation) |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Banks, Carson, Nelson, Nicol (canonical DES); robust extensions: operations research community | Wald, A. (minimax foundation); Lempert et al. (RDM framework) |
| Loại≠ | Simulation with robustness analysis | Scenario-based robustness evaluation |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Banks, J., Carson, J. S., Nelson, B. L., & Nicol, D. M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Prentice Hall. ISBN: 9780136062127 | Wald, A. (1950). Statistical Decision Functions. Wiley, New York. link ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | Robust DES, Uncertainty-Aware DES, Robust DEVS, Resilient Discrete-Event Simulation | RSA, Robust Scenario Planning, Worst-Case Scenario Analysis, Minimax Regret Scenario Analysis |
| Liên quan≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Robust Discrete-Event Simulation (Robust DES) is a simulation methodology that extends classical discrete-event simulation by explicitly incorporating uncertainty in model parameters — such as interarrival times, service durations, and resource capacities — and evaluating system performance across worst-case or distributional uncertainty sets rather than point estimates alone. It is widely applied in manufacturing, healthcare, logistics, and supply chain systems where parameter misspecification or real-world variability can lead to misleading simulation conclusions. | Robust Scenario Analysis evaluates a set of candidate strategies across a structured collection of plausible future scenarios and selects the strategy that performs acceptably well — or best in the worst case — regardless of which scenario materializes. It merges scenario planning with robustness criteria such as maximin, minimax regret, or satisficing to support decisions under deep, irreducible uncertainty. |
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