So sánh phương pháp

	Mô hình ARIMA Mạnh mẽ	Hồi quy Quantile
Lĩnh vực	Kinh tế lượng	Kinh tế lượng
Họ	Regression model	Regression model
Năm ra đời	1986–1993	1978
Người khởi xướng	Tsay (1986); Chen & Liu (1993)	Koenker & Bassett
Loại	Robust time series model	Conditional quantile regression
Công trình gốc	Tsay, R. S. (1986). Time series model specification in the presence of outliers. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81(393), 132–141.	Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50.
Tên gọi khác	robust ARIMA, outlier-resistant ARIMA, robust time series estimation, ARIMA with outlier detection	conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Liên quan	4	5
Tóm tắt	Robust ARIMA extends the classical ARIMA framework to detect and correct the influence of outliers and structural breaks during estimation. By jointly identifying anomalous observations and re-estimating model parameters, it produces coefficient estimates and forecasts that are far less distorted by isolated shocks or data errors than standard ARIMA.	Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.