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Population Momentum×Net Reproduction Rate×
Lĩnh vựcNhân khẩu họcNhân khẩu học
HọProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Năm ra đời19712001
Người khởi xướngNathan KeyfitzRichard Böckh and Robert Kuczynski (formalized in Preston, Heuveline & Guillot)
LoạiMeasure of latent growth from age structure after fertility reaches replacementPeriod measure of generational replacement combining fertility and mortality
Công trình gốcKeyfitz, N. (1971). On the momentum of population growth. Demography, 8(1), 71–80. DOI ↗Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512
Tên gọi khácDemographic Momentum, Momentum of Population Growth, Keyfitz MomentumNRR, Net reproduction ratio, Net reproductive rate, Net Üreme Hızı
Liên quan34
Tóm tắtPopulation momentum is the tendency of a growing population to keep growing for decades even after fertility falls to the replacement level, simply because its age structure is heavily weighted toward young people who have yet to reach childbearing age. Introduced by Nathan Keyfitz in 1971, the momentum factor measures how much larger (or smaller) a population will ultimately become if fertility instantly drops to exact replacement. It explains why ending rapid population growth is not immediate: the built-in youthfulness of a fast-growing population carries growth forward long after birth rates stabilize.The net reproduction rate (NRR) is the demographic measure of generational replacement: the average number of daughters a woman would bear who survive to the age their mother was when she bore them, given the period's age-specific fertility rates and female mortality. By combining fertility with survival, the NRR answers the fundamental question of whether a population is replacing itself — an NRR of one means each generation of women exactly reproduces the next, below one signals long-run decline, and above one signals growth.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Population Momentum · Net Reproduction Rate. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-25 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare