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| Mô phỏng Tự động Tế bào theo Kịch bản Chính sách× | Mô hình động lực hệ thống× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Mô phỏng | Mô phỏng |
| Họ | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1979–1997 | 1961 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Tobler, W. (CA foundations); Clarke, K.C. et al. (policy/urban CA scenarios) | Jay W. Forrester |
| Loại≠ | Grid-based scenario simulation | Continuous simulation / feedback modelling |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Clarke, K. C., Hoppen, S., & Gaydos, L. (1997). A self-modifying cellular automaton model of historical urbanization in the San Francisco Bay area. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 24(2), 247–261. DOI ↗ | Sterman, J.D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0072389159 |
| Tên gọi khác | PSCA, CA Policy Scenario Modeling, Policy-driven CA Simulation, Scenario-based Cellular Automata | stock-flow modelling, Sistem Dinamiği (Stock-Flow Modelleme), SD modelling, feedback simulation |
| Liên quan≠ | 5 | 3 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Policy Scenario Cellular Automata (PSCA) combines cellular automata simulation with structured scenario analysis to evaluate how alternative policy decisions reshape spatially distributed systems over time. Each scenario encodes a different set of transition rules or constraints, and the model iterates to reveal divergent spatial outcomes — enabling direct, visual comparison of policy consequences at the local and system level. | System dynamics is a continuous simulation method, developed by Jay W. Forrester at MIT in 1961, that represents a complex system through stocks (accumulations), flows (rates of change), and feedback loops. By expressing these relationships as coupled ordinary differential equations, it reproduces how policies, delays, and nonlinear feedbacks drive system behaviour over time — making it a cornerstone tool in policy analysis, organisational modelling, and sustainability research. |
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