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| Mô hình cấu trúc biên tế đánh giá chính sách× | Đánh giá Tác động Phản thực tế (CIE)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Suy luận nhân quả | Suy luận nhân quả |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2000 | 1970s–2000s |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | James M. Robins, Miguel A. Hernan, Babette Brumback | Heckman, Imbens, Rubin, and the program evaluation literature |
| Loại≠ | Causal inference / weighted regression | Causal inference / program evaluation |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Robins, J. M., Hernan, M. A., & Brumback, B. (2000). Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology. Epidemiology, 11(5), 550–560. DOI ↗ | Heckman, J. J., & Vytlacil, E. J. (2007). Econometric evaluation of social programs, Part I: Causal models, structural models and econometric policy evaluation. Handbook of Econometrics, 6B, 4779-4874. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | MSM for policy evaluation, policy MSM, causal MSM, structural policy weighting model | CIE, counterfactual evaluation, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluation |
| Liên quan≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | A Policy Evaluation Marginal Structural Model (MSM) is a causal inference framework that estimates the population-average effect of a policy by using inverse probability weighting to create a pseudo-population in which treatment assignment is independent of measured confounders, enabling unbiased comparison of potential outcomes under different policy scenarios from observational data. | Counterfactual Impact Evaluation is a family of causal methods that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing what actually happened to participants with what would have happened had the intervention not taken place. Formalised in the Rubin Causal Model and extended by Heckman, Imbens and others, CIE underlies most modern program and policy evaluation practice. |
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