So sánh phương pháp

	Hồi quy Bình phương Tối thiểu Thông thường (OLS)	Hồi quy Poisson và Âm nhị thức	Phương pháp Theta
Lĩnh vực	Kinh tế lượng	Kinh tế lượng	Kinh tế lượng
Họ	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
Năm ra đời	2019	1998	2000
Người khởi xướng	Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares	Cameron & Trivedi (textbook treatment); Hilbe (negative binomial)	Assimakopoulos & Nikolopoulos
Loại	Linear regression	Generalized linear model for count data	Univariate time-series forecasting model
Công trình gốc	Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860	Cameron, A. C. & Trivedi, P. K. (1998). Regression Analysis of Count Data. Cambridge University Press.	Assimakopoulos, V. & Nikolopoulos, K. (2000). The Theta Model: A Decomposition Approach to Forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 16(4), 521-530.
Tên gọi khác	ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu	count regression, log-linear count model, negative binomial regression, Poisson / Negatif Binom Regresyon	theta model, theta forecasting, Theta Yöntemi — M3 Tahmin Yarışması Birincisi
Liên quan	5	4	4
Tóm tắt	Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).	Poisson regression is a generalized linear model for count outcomes — events tallied as non-negative integers such as hospital admissions, accidents, or article counts. It models the log of the expected count as a linear function of the predictors, and is developed in the standard count-data treatment of Cameron and Trivedi (1998); when the counts are over-dispersed, the closely related negative binomial model (Hilbe, 2011) is preferred.	The Theta Method is a univariate time-series forecasting model introduced by Assimakopoulos and Nikolopoulos in 2000. It decomposes a series into two theta lines that capture its long-run trend and its short-run dynamics, forecasts each line separately, and combines them by a weighted average. Its simplicity and accuracy made it the winner of the M3 forecasting competition.