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Landslide Susceptibility Mapping×Phân tích Nguy hiểm Địa chấn Xác suất (PSHA)×
Lĩnh vựcDisaster StudiesKỹ thuật xây dựng
HọProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Năm ra đời20061968
Người khởi xướngFausto Guzzetti, Paola Reichenbach and colleagues (CNR-IRPI; statistical landslide susceptibility tradition)C. Allin Cornell
LoạiSpatial statistical classification pipeline over mapping unitsQuantitative probabilistic framework
Công trình gốcReichenbach, P., Rossi, M., Malamud, B. D., Mihir, M., & Guzzetti, F. (2018). A review of statistically-based landslide susceptibility models. Earth-Science Reviews, 180, 60-91. DOI ↗Cornell, C. A. (1968). Engineering seismic risk analysis. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 58(5), 1583–1606. link ↗
Tên gọi khácLandslide Susceptibility Modeling, Slope-Failure Susceptibility Mapping, Statistical Landslide Hazard Mapping, Landslide Probability MappingPSHA, seismic hazard analysis, probabilistic earthquake hazard assessment, Cornell-McGuire method
Liên quan31
Tóm tắtLandslide susceptibility mapping estimates where slope failures are likely to occur by statistically relating a mapped inventory of past landslides to the terrain conditions that predispose a slope to fail. The premise, articulated across the statistical landslide literature that Guzzetti, Reichenbach, and colleagues helped systematize, is that landslides recur under geological and morphological conditions similar to those that produced them before, so the spatial pattern of past failures reveals the susceptibility of as-yet unfailed terrain. The analyst partitions the landscape into mapping units, characterizes each by conditioning factors such as slope, aspect, lithology, and land cover, and fits a classifier — logistic regression, discriminant analysis, or machine learning — to predict the probability of failure. Reichenbach and co-authors' 2018 review of 565 studies catalogued the methods, factors, and validation practices, while Guzzetti and co-workers' 2006 paper established how to rigorously assess model quality. The output is a zonation ranking terrain from low to high susceptibility. Susceptibility maps describe spatial likelihood, not when or how large a failure will be.Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) is a quantitative engineering framework used in civil and geotechnical engineering to estimate the likelihood that ground shaking will exceed a specified intensity level at a site within a given time window. By combining earthquake source geometry, recurrence statistics, and ground-motion attenuation models, PSHA produces hazard curves and maps that inform seismic design codes, infrastructure planning, and risk management decisions.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Landslide Susceptibility Mapping · Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-25 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare