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| Phương pháp Kónya Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality× | Kiểm định nhân quả Granger× | Kiểm định Pesaran CD: Chẩn đoán sự phụ thuộc chéo cho dữ liệu bảng× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ≠ | Hypothesis test | Regression model | Hypothesis test |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2006 | 1969 | 2021 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | László Kónya | Clive W. J. Granger | M. Hashem Pesaran |
| Loại≠ | Non-parametric bootstrap hypothesis test | Time-series predictive causality test | Non-parametric diagnostic test |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Kónya, L. (2006). Exports and growth: Granger causality analysis on OECD countries with a panel data approach. Economic Modelling, 23(6), 978–992. DOI ↗ | Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗ | Pesaran, M. H. (2021). General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels. Empirical Economics, 60(1), 13–50. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | Bootstrap Panel Causality Test, Kónya Panel Granger Causality, SUR-Based Bootstrap Causality, Kónya Önyükleme Nedensellik Testi | Granger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi | CD Test, Cross-Sectional Dependence Test, Pesaran General CD Test, Kesitsel Bağımlılık Testi |
| Liên quan≠ | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Introduced by László Kónya in 2006, this method tests Granger causality in heterogeneous panels by estimating a Seemingly Unrelated Regressions (SUR) system and deriving country-specific critical values through bootstrapping. Unlike pooled panel tests, it delivers a separate causality verdict for each cross-section, making it particularly valuable in applied macroeconomics and international economics when panel units are expected to behave differently. | The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause. | The Pesaran CD test is a general diagnostic procedure for detecting cross-sectional dependence in panel data models. Developed by M. Hashem Pesaran (2021), it is applicable to both balanced and unbalanced panels with large N and T, and retains validity under heterogeneous slope coefficients. The test is widely adopted in empirical economics, finance, and political economy as a prerequisite check before selecting appropriate estimators or unit-root tests for panel datasets. |
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