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Journey to Crime Analysis×Near-Repeat Analysis×
Lĩnh vựcCriminologyCriminology
HọProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Năm ra đời20002003
Người khởi xướngD. Kim Rossmo (geographic profiling); journey-to-crime traditionMichael Townsley, Shane Johnson & Kate Bowers
LoạiSpatial analysis of offender travel and home-location inferenceSpace-time clustering test for crime contagion
Công trình gốcRossmo, D. K. (2000). Geographic Profiling. CRC Press. ISBN: 9780849381294Townsley, M., Homel, R., & Chaseling, J. (2003). Infectious burglaries: A test of the near repeat hypothesis. British Journal of Criminology, 43(3), 615–633. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácJourney-to-Crime Modeling, Geographic Profiling, Crime Trip Analysis, Distance-Decay Crime AnalysisNear Repeat Calculator Method, Space-Time Near-Repeat Analysis, Near-Repeat Victimization, Contagion Crime Pattern Analysis
Liên quan44
Tóm tắtJourney-to-crime analysis studies how far and where offenders travel from an anchor point — usually home — to commit crimes, and inverts that pattern to infer an unknown offender's likely base. The aggregate distance-decay regularity (most crimes occur near the offender's home, with frequency falling off with distance) underlies geographic profiling, formalized by D. Kim Rossmo in 2000 to prioritize the search for serial offenders.Near-repeat analysis tests whether crimes cluster in space and time beyond chance: after a crime occurs, are nearby locations at elevated risk for a short period? Developed in the early 2000s by Townsley, Johnson, Bowers and colleagues for burglary, it formalizes the 'contagion' or 'communicable disease' pattern of crime using a Knox space-time test against a Monte Carlo reference distribution.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Journey to Crime Analysis · Near-Repeat Analysis. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-25 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare