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| Đánh giá Tác động Phản thực tế của Hiệu ứng Điều trị Không đồng nhất× | Đánh giá Tác động Phản thực tế (CIE)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Suy luận nhân quả | Suy luận nhân quả |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2010s | 1970s–2000s |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Cerulli (2010) for CIE framework; Athey & Wager (2019) for causal forest-based CATE within CIE | Heckman, Imbens, Rubin, and the program evaluation literature |
| Loại≠ | Quasi-experimental causal inference with subgroup heterogeneity | Causal inference / program evaluation |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Cerulli, G. (2010). Modelling and measuring the effect of public subsidies on business R&D: A critical review of the econometric literature. Economic Record, 86(274), 421-449. DOI ↗ | Heckman, J. J., & Vytlacil, E. J. (2007). Econometric evaluation of social programs, Part I: Causal models, structural models and econometric policy evaluation. Handbook of Econometrics, 6B, 4779-4874. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | HTE-CIE, heterogeneous CIE, CATE-based counterfactual evaluation, subgroup counterfactual impact evaluation | CIE, counterfactual evaluation, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluation |
| Liên quan≠ | 4 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (HTE-CIE) extends standard counterfactual impact evaluation by estimating how the causal effect of a policy or intervention varies across subgroups defined by pre-treatment characteristics. Rather than reporting a single average treatment effect, it maps the Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) across the covariate space, revealing who benefits most or least from an intervention. | Counterfactual Impact Evaluation is a family of causal methods that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing what actually happened to participants with what would have happened had the intervention not taken place. Formalised in the Rubin Causal Model and extended by Heckman, Imbens and others, CIE underlies most modern program and policy evaluation practice. |
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