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| Đánh giá Tác động Phản thực tế Động× | Mô hình cấu trúc biên (MSM)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Suy luận nhân quả | Suy luận nhân quả |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1986–2009 | 2000 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Robins (1986); Lechner (2009) for sequential treatment settings | James M. Robins, Miguel A. Hernan, Babette Brumback |
| Loại≠ | Causal inference / program evaluation | Causal model / semiparametric weighting |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Robins, J. M. (1986). A new approach to causal inference in mortality studies with a sustained exposure period — application to control of the healthy worker survivor effect. Mathematical Modelling, 7(9-12), 1393-1512. DOI ↗ | Robins, J. M., Hernan, M. A., & Brumback, B. (2000). Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology. Epidemiology, 11(5), 550-560. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | dynamic CIE, dynamic treatment evaluation, time-varying counterfactual analysis, longitudinal counterfactual evaluation | MSM, MSM-IPTW, marginal structural Cox model, weighted structural model |
| Liên quan≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Dynamic Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (dynamic CIE) extends standard counterfactual program evaluation to settings where treatment is assigned sequentially across multiple periods. Rather than comparing a single treated versus untreated state, it estimates the causal effect of entire treatment trajectories or regimes, accounting for how intermediate outcomes and time-varying covariates feed back into subsequent treatment decisions. | A marginal structural model is a causal modeling framework designed to estimate the effect of a time-varying treatment in the presence of time-varying confounders that are themselves affected by prior treatment. By reweighting observations with inverse probability of treatment weights, MSMs create a pseudo-population in which confounding is eliminated, enabling unbiased estimation of causal treatment contrasts even when standard regression adjustments would fail. |
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