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Mô hình Cân bằng Tổng thể Ngẫu nhiên Động (DSGE)×Mô hình Cân bằng tổng thể tính toán (CGE)×Mô hình không gian trạng thái (Bộ lọc Kalman)×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời200720021990
Người khởi xướngSmets & Wouters; An & Schorfheide (Bayesian DSGE estimation)Lofgren, Harris & Robinson (standard IFPRI CGE model in GAMS); Walrasian general equilibrium theoryHarvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
LoạiMicro-founded macroeconomic general equilibrium modelNumerical general equilibrium modelState space time series model
Công trình gốcSmets, F. & Wouters, R. (2007). Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach. American Economic Review, 97(3), 586–606. DOI ↗Lofgren, H., Harris, R.L. & Robinson, S. (2002). A Standard Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model in GAMS. IFPRI Microcomputers in Policy Research, 5. link ↗Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácDSGE, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium, micro-founded macroeconomic model, Dinamik Stokastik Genel Denge Modeli (DSGE)computable general equilibrium, applied general equilibrium model, Hesaplanabilir Genel Denge Modeli (CGE)state space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
Liên quan534
Tóm tắtA DSGE model is a micro-founded macroeconomic general equilibrium model that combines the optimising decisions of households, firms, and government under rational expectations. Popularised for empirical policy work by Smets and Wouters (2007) and given its Bayesian estimation framework by An and Schorfheide (2007), it is the standard tool for central-bank policy analysis, fiscal-shock simulation, and the study of business-cycle fluctuations.A Computable General Equilibrium model is a numerical equilibrium framework that represents the input-output relationships among all sectors, factors of production, households, and foreign trade in an economy through a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM). Grounded in Walrasian general equilibrium theory and formalised in the standard IFPRI model of Lofgren, Harris and Robinson (2002), it simulates the economy-wide effects of policy shocks such as tax reform, trade liberalisation, or environmental policy.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: DSGE Model · CGE Model · State Space Model. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-18 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare