So sánh phương pháp

	Mô phỏng Lựa chọn Rời rạc	Mô phỏng Monte Carlo
Lĩnh vực	Mô phỏng	Ra quyết định
Họ	Process / pipeline	MCDM
Năm ra đời	1974 (McFadden's Nobel-cited logit); simulation extensions throughout 1990s–2000s	1949
Người khởi xướng	Daniel McFadden (random utility theory); Kenneth Train (simulation methods)	Metropolis, N., Ulam, S.
Loại	Discrete choice modelling with Monte Carlo simulation	Robustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
Công trình gốc	Train, K.E. (2009). Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press.	Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association
Tên gọi khác	stated preference simulation, SP simulation, revealed preference modelling, Ayrık Seçim Simülasyonu (Stated Preference / SP Simulation)	—
Liên quan	5	0
Tóm tắt	Discrete choice simulation is a behavioural modelling method — grounded in random utility theory formalised by Daniel McFadden in the 1970s and extended to simulation-based estimation by Kenneth Train — that estimates how individuals choose among mutually exclusive alternatives and then uses those estimated preference parameters to forecast how choice shares would shift under hypothetical policy or market scenarios. It is the dominant quantitative tool in transport demand analysis, health economics, environmental valuation, and marketing research.	MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.