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Mô hình suy giảm×Phân tích cây lỗi (FTA)×Hồi quy sống sót tham số Weibull×
Lĩnh vựcĐộ tin cậyĐộ tin cậyPhân tích sống còn
HọRegression modelProcess / pipelineSurvival analysis
Năm ra đời199819811951
Người khởi xướngMeeker, Escobar & LuVesely et al. (US NRC Fault Tree Handbook)Waloddi Weibull
LoạiStochastic degradation path modelDeductive top-down failure analysisFully parametric survival regression model
Công trình gốcMeeker, W. Q., Escobar, L. A., & Lu, C. J. (1998). Accelerated degradation tests: modeling and analysis. Technometrics, 40(2), 89–99. DOI ↗Vesely, W. E., Goldberg, F. F., Roberts, N. H., & Haasl, D. F. (1981). Fault Tree Handbook (NUREG-0492). U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. link ↗Kalbfleisch, J. D. & Prentice, R. L. (2002). The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data (2nd ed.). Wiley. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácAccelerated Degradation Testing, Degradation Path Models, Performance Degradation Analysis, Bozunma ModelleriFTA, Fault Tree Method, Top-Down Reliability Analysis, Hata Ağacı Analiziweibull aft model, weibull survival model, parametric survival regression, Weibull Regresyonu — Parametrik Hayatta Kalma
Liên quan334
Tóm tắtDegradation models estimate product lifetime by tracking measurable performance characteristics—such as crack length, light output, or insulation resistance—over time rather than waiting for outright failure. Introduced in rigorous form by Meeker, Escobar, and Lu (1998), these models fit a stochastic degradation path to repeated measurements and define failure as the first time the characteristic crosses a predetermined threshold, enabling reliable lifetime inference from accelerated test data with very few or no observed failures.Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) is a top-down, deductive reliability method that begins with an undesired top-level failure event and systematically traces backward through chains of contributing causes using Boolean logic gates (AND, OR). First formalized by Watson at Bell Telephone Laboratories in 1961 and later standardized by Vesely, Goldberg, Roberts, and Haasl in the landmark 1981 NRC Fault Tree Handbook, FTA has become a cornerstone of quantitative risk assessment in nuclear, aerospace, and industrial safety engineering.Weibull regression is a fully parametric survival model, formalised by Kalbfleisch and Prentice, that assumes survival times follow a Weibull distribution. A shape parameter controls whether the hazard increases, decreases, or remains constant over time, while covariates shift the scale of the distribution to express how predictors affect survival.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Degradation Models · Fault Tree Analysis · Weibull Regression. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-18 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare