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Component GARCH×VAR Quantile×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời19992006
Người khởi xướngEngle and LeeKoenker and Xiao
LoạiDecomposed variance modelDistribution impulse response
Công trình gốcEngle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗Koenker, R., & Xiao, Z. (2006). Quantile autoregression. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 980-990. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácVolatility components modelQuantile-based impulse response
Liên quan33
Tóm tắtComponent GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.Quantile VAR estimates impulse responses of multivariate systems conditional on different quantiles of the distribution, revealing how shocks propagate heterogeneously across the conditional distribution. Introduced by Koenker and Xiao (2006) and applied to risk measurement by White et al. (2015), it reveals tail behavior and contagion effects invisible to mean-based VAR analysis. This is essential for risk management and understanding how crises propagate differently than normal times.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Component GARCH · Quantile VAR. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-19 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare