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Coalition Formation Analysis×Veto Player Analysis×
Lĩnh vựcPolitical EconomyPolitical Science
HọMCDMMCDM
Năm ra đời19621995
Người khởi xướngWilliam Riker; Michael Laver & Norman SchofieldGeorge Tsebelis
LoạiFormal theory of coalition selectionComparative institutional analysis framework
Công trình gốcRiker, W. H. (1962). The Theory of Political Coalitions. Yale University Press. ISBN: 9780300001754Tsebelis, G. (2002). Veto Players: How Political Institutions Work. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 9780691091891
Tên gọi khácMinimal Winning Coalition Theory, Riker Size Principle, Coalition Theory, Government Coalition AnalysisVeto Players Theory, Veto Points Analysis, Tsebelis Veto Player Framework, Policy Stability Analysis
Liên quan44
Tóm tắtCoalition formation analysis is the formal study of which subset of parties will combine to form a governing or decision-making coalition when no single party commands a majority. William Riker's 1962 The Theory of Political Coalitions supplied the foundational logic: under pure office-seeking, rational politicians form minimal winning coalitions and, by the size principle, the smallest winning coalition possible, so that the spoils of office are divided among as few partners as necessary. Michael Laver and Norman Schofield's 1990 Multiparty Government enriched this with policy-seeking motives, showing that coalitions also tend to be ideologically connected. The framework predicts coalition membership from seat shares and party positions.Veto player analysis is a spatial-institutional framework, developed by George Tsebelis in his 1995 article and 2002 book, for predicting the capacity of a political system to change policy. A veto player is any individual or collective actor whose agreement is required to alter the status quo. The theory shows that the potential for policy change shrinks as the number of veto players grows, as the ideological distance between them widens, and as their internal cohesion increases — three structural variables that together determine a system's policy stability independently of constitutional labels such as presidentialism or parliamentarism.
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