So sánh phương pháp

	Coale-McNeil Marriage Model	Phân tích Bàn Lập Sinh Mệnh (Life Table Analysis)
Lĩnh vực	Nhân khẩu học	Nhân khẩu học
Họ	Regression model	Survival analysis
Năm ra đời	1972	1984
Người khởi xướng	Ansley J. Coale & Donald R. McNeil	Demographic/actuarial tradition; Chiang
Loại	Parametric model of the age schedule of first marriage	Age-structured mortality estimator
Công trình gốc	Coale, A. J., & McNeil, D. R. (1972). The distribution by age of the frequency of first marriage in a female cohort. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 67(340), 743–749.	Chiang, C. L. (1984). The Life Table and Its Applications. Robert E. Krieger Publishing. ISBN: 978-0-89874-565-2
Tên gọi khác	Coale-McNeil Nuptiality Model, Coale-McNeil Model Schedule of First Marriage, Standard Nuptiality Schedule	Mortality Table, Actuarial Table, Survival Table, Yaşam Tablosu
Liên quan	4	3
Tóm tắt	The Coale-McNeil model is a parametric description of how first marriages are distributed by age. Ansley Coale and Donald McNeil showed in 1972 that the age pattern of first marriage in widely different populations has a common shape, captured by a single standard curve that can be shifted and stretched. Three parameters — an origin age at which marriage starts, a scale that controls how spread out the process is, and the ultimate proportion who ever marry — reproduce almost any observed first-marriage schedule, giving demographers a compact and comparable summary of nuptiality.	A life table is a systematic, age-structured summary of the mortality experience of a population. It traces a hypothetical cohort of births — conventionally 100,000 — through successive age intervals, recording how many survive, how many die, and how many person-years are lived at each interval. The method was formalized in its modern probabilistic form by Chiang (1984), synthesizing centuries of actuarial and demographic practice into a rigorous statistical framework applicable to human and biological populations alike.