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Phân tích độ nhạy Bayes cho quan hệ nhân quả×Mô hình cấu trúc biên (MSM)×
Lĩnh vựcSuy luận nhân quảSuy luận nhân quả
HọRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời2000s–2010s2000
Người khởi xướngMcCandless, Gustafson & Austin (2007); Gustafson (2015)James M. Robins, Miguel A. Hernan, Babette Brumback
LoạiBayesian causal sensitivity analysisCausal model / semiparametric weighting
Công trình gốcMcCandless, L. C., Gustafson, P., & Austin, P. C. (2007). Bayesian propensity score analysis for observational data. Statistics in Medicine, 26(8), 1704-1718. DOI ↗Robins, J. M., Hernan, M. A., & Brumback, B. (2000). Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology. Epidemiology, 11(5), 550-560. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácBayesian sensitivity analysis, Bayesian bias analysis, probabilistic sensitivity analysis for confounding, Bayesian unmeasured confounding analysisMSM, MSM-IPTW, marginal structural Cox model, weighted structural model
Liên quan65
Tóm tắtBayesian sensitivity analysis for causality quantifies how much an unmeasured confounder would need to influence both treatment assignment and outcome to overturn a causal conclusion. Rather than testing a single worst-case scenario, it places prior distributions over the strength of hidden confounding, propagates uncertainty through a full Bayesian model, and reports a posterior distribution for the causal effect that honestly reflects what is and is not identified from observed data.A marginal structural model is a causal modeling framework designed to estimate the effect of a time-varying treatment in the presence of time-varying confounders that are themselves affected by prior treatment. By reweighting observations with inverse probability of treatment weights, MSMs create a pseudo-population in which confounding is eliminated, enabling unbiased estimation of causal treatment contrasts even when standard regression adjustments would fail.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis for Causality · Marginal Structural Model. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-15 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare