So sánh phương pháp

	Thiết kế Hồi quy Gián đoạn Bayes	Ghép cặp điểm xu hướng
Lĩnh vực	Suy luận nhân quả	Thống kê nghiên cứu
Họ	Regression model	Process / pipeline
Năm ra đời	2004-2016	1983
Người khởi xướng	Karabatsos & Walker; Chib & Jacobi	Paul Rosenbaum and Donald Rubin
Loại	Bayesian causal inference / quasi-experimental	Method
Công trình gốc	Karabatsos, G., & Walker, S. G. (2004). Coherent inference in regression discontinuity designs with a Bayesian nonparametric approach. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 99(468), 1121-1131.	Rosenbaum, P. R., & Rubin, D. B. (1983). The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika, 70(1), 41–55.
Tên gọi khác	Bayesian RDD, Bayesian RD, Bayes RDD, Bayesian regression-discontinuity	PSM, propensity score weighting, covariate balance
Liên quan	5	3
Tóm tắt	Bayesian Regression Discontinuity Design (Bayesian RDD) embeds the classical RD framework — which estimates a local causal effect at a known assignment cutoff — within a Bayesian inferential engine. Prior distributions are placed on the regression functions on either side of the cutoff and on the treatment-effect parameter, yielding a full posterior distribution over the causal estimand rather than a single point estimate with a frequentist p-value.	Propensity score matching (PSM) is a method for reducing confounding bias in observational studies by balancing baseline characteristics between treatment groups, simulating randomization. Developed by Rosenbaum and Rubin (1983), it estimates the probability of receiving treatment given observed covariates, then matches or weights treated and control individuals with similar treatment probabilities. Widely used in medicine, epidemiology, and policy evaluation when randomized trials are infeasible or unethical, enabling estimation of treatment effects while controlling for selection bias.