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| Hồi quy Lượng-trên-Lượng Bayes× | Mô hình Hiệu chỉnh Sai số Tích chập Bayes (Bayesian VECM)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2015–2019 | 2002–2005 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Bayesian QQ framework combines Sim & Zhou (2015) QQ regression with Bayesian quantile regression (Yu & Moyeed, 2001) | Kleibergen & Paap; Villani |
| Loại≠ | Nonparametric quantile regression with Bayesian estimation | Bayesian multivariate time series model |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Sim, N., & Zhou, H. (2015). Oil prices, US stock return, and the dependence between their quantiles. Journal of Banking and Finance, 55, 1–8. DOI ↗ | Kleibergen, F., & Paap, R. (2002). Priors, posteriors and Bayes factors for a Bayesian analysis of cointegration. Journal of Econometrics, 111(2), 223–249. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | Bayesian QQR, Bayesian QQ regression, Bayes quantile-on-quantile, BQQ regression | Bayesian VECM, B-VECM, Bayesian cointegrated VAR, Bayesian vector error correction |
| Liên quan≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile (BQQ) Regression extends the Sim-Zhou quantile-on-quantile framework by replacing frequentist local linear estimation with Bayesian posterior inference. For each pair of quantiles (theta of the outcome, tau of the predictor), the method yields a full posterior distribution over the slope, enabling uncertainty quantification across the entire bivariate quantile surface — a key advantage when sample sizes are moderate and tail quantiles are sparse. | The Bayesian VECM combines the classical Vector Error Correction Model — which captures both short-run dynamics and long-run cointegrating relationships among non-stationary multivariate time series — with Bayesian prior distributions over the cointegrating rank and coefficient matrices. This allows principled uncertainty quantification, incorporation of economic theory as priors, and coherent inference even in small samples. |
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