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Phân tích Kaplan-Meier Bayes×Cox proportional hazards×
Lĩnh vựcDịch tễ họcDịch tễ học
HọProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Năm ra đời19761972
Người khởi xướngSusarla & Van Ryzin (Bayesian nonparametric survival estimation)Sir David Roxbee Cox
LoạiBayesian nonparametric survival analysisSemi-parametric regression model
Công trình gốcSusarla, V., & Van Ryzin, J. (1976). Nonparametric Bayesian estimation of survival curves from incomplete observations. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 71(356), 897–902. DOI ↗Cox, D. R. (1972). Regression models and life-tables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological), 34(2), 187–202. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácBayesian survival curve estimation, Bayesian nonparametric survival analysis, Dirichlet process Kaplan-Meier, BKMCox regression, Cox PH model, proportional hazards model, CPH
Liên quan45
Tóm tắtBayesian Kaplan-Meier analysis extends the classical Kaplan-Meier estimator by placing a prior distribution over the survival function and updating it with observed time-to-event data to obtain a full posterior distribution for the survival curve. This approach, rooted in Susarla and Van Ryzin's 1976 Dirichlet-process framework, yields credible intervals rather than confidence intervals and enables coherent incorporation of prior clinical knowledge, making it particularly valuable in small-sample or early-phase clinical settings.The Cox proportional hazards model is a semi-parametric regression method that estimates the effect of one or more covariates on the hazard — the instantaneous rate of an event such as death, relapse, or failure — while making no assumption about the shape of the baseline hazard function. Introduced by David Cox in 1972, it is the dominant tool for multivariable survival analysis in clinical and epidemiological research.
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