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| Mô hình EGARCH Bayes× | Mô hình GARCH Bayes× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1991 (EGARCH); 2000s (Bayesian estimation) | 1989–2000 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Nelson (1991) for EGARCH; Bayesian inference via MCMC developed from early 2000s | Geweke (1989); further developed by Nakatsuma (2000) and Bauwens & Lubrano (1998) |
| Loại≠ | Volatility model with Bayesian inference | Bayesian volatility model |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗ | Geweke, J. (1989). Exact predictive densities for linear models with ARCH disturbances. Journal of Econometrics, 40(1), 63–86. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | Bayesian EGARCH model, Bayesian Exponential GARCH, EGARCH with Bayesian estimation, B-EGARCH | Bayesian GARCH, BGARCH, GARCH with Bayesian inference, Bayesian volatility model |
| Liên quan≠ | 6 | 4 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | The Bayesian EGARCH model combines Nelson's (1991) Exponential GARCH specification — which models the log of conditional variance and captures the leverage effect — with Bayesian posterior inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). This allows full uncertainty quantification of all volatility parameters, including the asymmetry coefficient, without requiring large-sample normality of the estimates. | The Bayesian GARCH model combines the GARCH framework for time-varying volatility with Bayesian posterior inference. Instead of maximising a likelihood, it specifies prior distributions for the GARCH parameters and draws from the resulting posterior — typically via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) — to quantify both point estimates and full uncertainty about volatility dynamics. |
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