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Bayesian DCC-GARCH×Mô hình EGARCH Bayes×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời2002 (DCC); 2000s (Bayesian extension)1991 (EGARCH); 2000s (Bayesian estimation)
Người khởi xướngEngle (2002) for DCC; Bayesian extension via MCMC literature (2000s onwards)Nelson (1991) for EGARCH; Bayesian inference via MCMC developed from early 2000s
LoạiMultivariate volatility modelVolatility model with Bayesian inference
Công trình gốcEngle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácBayesian DCC-GARCH, Bayesian Dynamic Conditional Correlation, MCMC DCC-GARCH, Bayesian multivariate volatility modelBayesian EGARCH model, Bayesian Exponential GARCH, EGARCH with Bayesian estimation, B-EGARCH
Liên quan66
Tóm tắtBayesian DCC-GARCH estimates time-varying correlations across multiple financial or economic series by combining Engle's DCC-GARCH structure with Bayesian inference. Rather than maximising a likelihood, it places prior distributions over all parameters and uses Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling to produce full posterior distributions, yielding richer uncertainty quantification than classical DCC-GARCH.The Bayesian EGARCH model combines Nelson's (1991) Exponential GARCH specification — which models the log of conditional variance and captures the leverage effect — with Bayesian posterior inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). This allows full uncertainty quantification of all volatility parameters, including the asymmetry coefficient, without requiring large-sample normality of the estimates.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Bayesian DCC-GARCH · Bayesian EGARCH. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-17 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare