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| Mô hình Cox tỷ lệ nguy cơ Bayes (Bayesian Cox Proportional Hazards)× | Thử nghiệm lâm sàng ngẫu nhiên kiểu Bayes× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Dịch tễ học | Dịch tễ học |
| Họ | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1972 (Cox); Bayesian formulation developed through the 1990s | 1980s–2000s (formal methodology consolidated ~2004–2006) |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | D. R. Cox (frequentist CPH, 1972); Bayesian extensions by Joseph Ibrahim, Ming-Hui Chen, Debajyoti Sinha (1990s–2001) | Donald A. Berry and David J. Spiegelhalter (applied Bayesian inference formally to RCT design) |
| Loại≠ | Bayesian semiparametric survival regression | Randomized experimental study with Bayesian inference |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Ibrahim, J. G., Chen, M.-H., & Sinha, D. (2001). Bayesian Survival Analysis. Springer. ISBN: 978-0387952772 | Spiegelhalter, D. J., Abrams, K. R., & Myles, J. P. (2004). Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0471499756 |
| Tên gọi khác | Bayesian CPH, Bayesian survival regression, Bayesian semiparametric hazard model, Bayesian partial likelihood survival model | Bayesian RCT, Bayesian adaptive trial, Bayesian clinical trial design, BRCT |
| Liên quan≠ | 4 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | The Bayesian Cox proportional hazards model combines Cox's classical semiparametric survival regression with Bayesian inference, replacing point estimates and p-values with full posterior distributions over regression coefficients. It handles right-censored time-to-event outcomes, quantifies uncertainty about hazard ratios in probabilistic terms, and allows the incorporation of prior clinical or historical knowledge directly into the analysis. | A Bayesian randomized clinical trial (Bayesian RCT) combines the rigour of random treatment allocation with Bayesian statistical inference, allowing researchers to incorporate prior evidence and update beliefs continuously as trial data accumulate. Unlike the classical frequentist RCT, it yields direct probability statements about treatment effects and supports pre-specified adaptive stopping rules based on posterior probabilities. |
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