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Active Life Expectancy Estimation×Multistate Life Table×
Lĩnh vựcSocial GerontologyNhân khẩu học
HọSurvival analysisSurvival analysis
Năm ra đời19831975
Người khởi xướngSidney Katz, Laurence G. Branch and colleaguesAndrei Rogers, Robert Schoen and collaborators
LoạiLife-table estimator partitioning remaining life into active and dependent yearsNonparametric life table with multiple living states and transitions
Công trình gốcKatz, S., Branch, L. G., Branson, M. H., Papsidero, J. A., Beck, J. C., & Greer, D. S. (1983). Active life expectancy. New England Journal of Medicine, 309(20), 1218-1224. DOI ↗Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512
Tên gọi khácALE, Disability-Free Years Expectancy, Independent Life Expectancy, Active vs Dependent Life YearsIncrement-Decrement Life Table, Multiple-State Life Table, Multistate Demography, Çok Durumlu Yaşam Tablosu
Liên quan44
Tóm tắtActive life expectancy (ALE) estimates how many of an older person's remaining years are expected to be lived in an active, independent state — free of disability in basic activities of daily living — as opposed to a dependent state requiring help. Introduced by Sidney Katz, Laurence Branch, and colleagues in 1983 in the New England Journal of Medicine, it answered a question that ordinary life expectancy cannot: not just how long people live, but how much of that life is lived in good functional health. The method combines age-specific mortality with the prevalence or transitions of ADL disability within a life-table framework, partitioning total remaining life into active and dependent components that sum to overall life expectancy. Katz and colleagues showed, using data from older adults in Massachusetts, that active life expectancy declines faster than total life expectancy with age and differs across groups. The concept reframed the goal of aging policy from merely extending lifespan to extending the active, independent portion of it. It launched the broader field of health expectancy measures and remains foundational to studying the compression or expansion of late-life morbidity.The multistate life table, also called the increment-decrement life table, generalizes the ordinary life table to populations that move among several living states — such as healthy and disabled, married and unmarried, or employed and unemployed — as well as the absorbing state of death. Using age-specific transition rates organized in matrices, it tracks the flows of a synthetic cohort among states and yields state-specific expectancies, such as the years a person can expect to spend healthy versus disabled.
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